Market Update: January 2018

 

 

Another month has come and gone–and that means it’s time for a market update! This month was a strong month for sales in real estate. The market speed was listed as 41%  making it a seller’s market, however, the market speed is down slightly from the previous month. The Greater Vancouver Real Estate Board states that:

“High prices, increasing interest rates and new mortgage rules are all expected to reduce housing demand in 2018.”

With that in mind, let’s take a look at the stats for this month.

Total listings: 2,579 (down from 2,882 the previous year)

Total Sales: 1065 (up 847 from previous year)

Sale Price: 17% increase from the previous year

So what does this mean moving forward? Homes are still selling at an above average rate and at an above average price. This is the perfect time to list your home because the full effect of the mortgage guideline changes have not taken full effect.

Are you or someone you know thinking of selling? Give me a call today: 1.604.720.5353 or info@alyoung.ca

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What These New Mortgage Rules Mean For You

NEW_MORTGAGE_RULES_2018

If you are one of the 37% of Canadians who are not aware of the new mortgage rules, then this article is for you!

On January 1, 2018, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) made significant changes to the B-20 guidelines that have significant impact on those looking to purchase a home.

These new changes indicate that all uninsured mortgage borrowers (those with down payments of 20% or more) must now qualify against the Bank of Canada’s five-year benchmark rate (currently sitting at 4.99%) or at their contractual mortgage rate + 2% additional. For example, if your contract rate is 3.34% you must qualify at 5.34%. The purpose of this is to ensure that borrowers can service their mortgage debts as interest rates rise (as they are predicted to do so in 2018).

As some of you may recall, similar measure were issued in October of 2016. The stress-testing regulations at the time only applies to those with an uninsured mortgage (those with less than 20% down). These new rules and updates to B-20 essentially mean that ALL mortgages will have to abide by stress testing.

 

To better understand how this will specifically affect buyers, we spoke with Mortgage Expert, Geoff Lee of GLM Mortgage Group and he broke it down for us in the table below*

Picture1*based on a dual income family making a combined annual income of $85,000

As you can see, your borrowing power is drastically changed. You are able to borrow $105,000 less with these new changes, meaning you qualify to purchase a home worth $105,000 LESS than before these new rules were introduced.

However, this is not all bad news for first-time buyers. This can effectively cool a relatively hot market here in the Fraser Valley and Vancouver. It can also limit the competition and allow for more buying options for buyers who are able to put the 20% down and pass the stress test.

This announcement also comes at a time when condo and townhome development is at an all-time high, providing affordable, accessible housing options for many buyers.

Buyers can also look to accommodate these changes by laying out a budget and sticking to it! Re/Max has a great layout for this:

  1. Maintain a financial buffer of at least three to six months, to soften the blow of interest rate increases and unexpected bumps in the road.
  2. The mortgage you qualify for and what you can actually afford are two very different things. Look at your lifestyle, now and in the future, and consider how your mortgage payments and ongoing home costs will impact you. When buying a home, you might have to make some compromises on lifestyle in the interest of homeownership.
  3. Buying a home involves more than just mortgage payments. Ongoing expenses include maintenance, home insurance, property taxes, and utilities.

Entering the market in 2018, or looking to purchase a new home need not be a stressful or worrisome experience. We work with some fantastic brokers who can help you get a sharper rate and we can help you find your next home well within your budget. Give us a call today and let us help you: 604-533-3491.

What’s just Happened in Real Estate?

If you look at any major news site at least one of the headlines will be about Real Estate. With the Bank of Canada’s rate hike 2 weeks ago, along with low inventory, and fast-moving sales, real estate today can be confusing for the typical consumer. To make things easier on you, we’ve examined 3 trends and market changes that have created the current state of real estate.

 

  1. Bank of Canada Rate Hike.

On September 6, the Bank of Canada quietly raised its interest rate another 0.25%. This brought the rate up from 0.75% to 1%. Why did this happen? With Canada’s record year of economic growth, a higher interest rate is needed to cool the economy and ensure that inflation doesn’t get out of hand.  This can also have implications on mortgages. The lending rate of variable mortgages is tied to the Bank of Canada’s prime lending rate and it can impact the amount of homeowner’s payments. For more about interest rates and how they affect you click HERE.

 

  1. Continued Low Inventory

According to my Snap-Stats, in August the total number of listings was down from last year. The total listed homes came in at 3,884 this year, compared to 4,174 in 2016. This is an ongoing trend in The Fraser Valley and Metro Vancouver detached home market. As fewer homes become available, pricing continues to push upward. This is great for sellers but creates the perfect storm for buyers looking to get into the market.

 

  1. A Shift to Townhomes and Condos

August Sales numbers were pushed above average levels due to a demand for condos and townhomes. Last month, 3,043 residential properties sold, marking a 22.3% increase compared to 2,489 sales in August of the previous year, and a 2.8% increase over this July. When compared to the August sales average from the last decade, 2017 sales were 19.6% above average. This surge in sales in Metro Vancouver is being led by first time homebuyers looking to buy property listed between $350k – $750k.  With demand rising, developers are working to keep building, and many new developments are planned for 2018.

 

The Metro Vancouver and Fraser Valley real estate markets continue to change. Each day new statistics show that we are currently in one of the best markets for sellers, and also one of the most difficult for 1st time homebuyers. However, to the buyers – do not get discouraged! At Young Real Estate Group, we are committed to helping you find the right home in your budget – no matter what it takes. For those thinking to sell, don’t hesitate. Now is one of the best times in Real Estate to place a “For Sale” sign in your yard.

To learn what your home is worth, or to buy a home, please contact us. We happy to serve you whether you’re selling or buying. Call us at 604-533-3491 or email by clicking here.

July Market Update

July’s market update is live! As we head into the dog-days of summer, real estate is still going strong in the Fraser Valley. We are still in a Seller’s Market, with a 43% home selling rate.

There were a total of 4087 active listings in July. This is up from the previous year slightly. There were 1744 sales made in July, which was on par with last year’s sales at this time as well.

One of the most interesting, and still a concern for many first time and buyers in general, was the rise in sale price of 15% from last year. The main issue that is driving prices up continuously is the lack of inventory. Despite a record setting month in construction, there is still a high demand and low supply.

If you would like to see your snap-stats report for your area, get in touch with us and we will set you up!

Market Update + What defines a Sellers Market?

The summer heat has spilled over to the real estate market! This month the Fraser Valley remained in a Sellers Market.

Looking at the table above and seeing the ‘sales ratio’ you may ask how those numbers translate into a Seller’s Market. So we thought that this month we would dive into how we determine the market as a balanced, sellers, or buyers market.

First, what is a Sales Ratio? The Sales Ratio is the current inventory of homes that are selling. It is found by taking the number of sales and dividing

Examples:

 10% sales ratio=1 in 10 homes selling rate

33% sales ratip=1 in 3 homes selling rate

Make sense? We then take those ratios and compare them to benchmarks which determine if the market is balanced, favours buyers, or favours sellers.

  • A buyers market would have a sales ratio of 11% or less
  • A balanced market would have a sales ratio of 12-20%
  • A seller’s market would have a sales ratio of 20% or more
Looking at the stats in the table above, you can see that we are in a seller’s market–and have been for the past several months. If you would like to learn more about the stats for your specific area–or are interested in chatting about putting your home on the market get in touch with us today. We would love to meet with you and help you understand what the market is doing in your area!

Market Update: May 2017

Another month, another market update! The real estate market in the Fraser Valley has remained a seller’s market over the past month. We have seen average home prices rise, sales inventory slightly increase, and multiple bidding wars associated with many listings. To see last month’s stats for comparison please click here.

Here is what we saw this month for inventory, sales, and sales ratio:

Inventory.png

Surrey had an inventory of 748 homes with 366 sales. This gives a sales ratio of 49% White Rock/South Surrey had 565 homes listed, with 166 sold. Total sales ratio of 29% North Delta had less inventory at 153 homes listed, but 91 sold giving it a sales ratio of 59%. Following that, Cloverdale had the highest sales ratio at 86% with 103 listings and 89 sales. Langley saw 232 homes listed with 183 Selling and a sales ratio 0f 79% (second highest). In Abbotsford, 288 homes were listed, 209 sold giving a high sales ratio of 73%. Last but not least, Mission had a sales ratio of 61% with 138 homes listed and 84 selling.

The upward trend of prices and low inventory continues to drive the market. Homes are selling quickly and for top dollar making this an excellent time to sell. If you or someone you know is selling, please get in touch with us at Young Real Estate by calling: 604-533-3491, or email info@callyoung.com

 

The 3 Reasons the Fraser Valley is a Seller’s Market

At 63% MarketSpeed™ (sales-to-active listing ratio) we are officially in a seller’s market. But the question is: Why?

  1. Sales: 25% less than the previous year, and with an average list price of $623,000 giving us a 5% increase compared to this time last year, and a 2% increase month over month.
  2. Active Listings: Active listings totaled 3169  which is a 15% decrease year over year, but a 5% increase month over month
  3. Days on the Market: Homes were on the market for an average of 10 days in April, which is an 11% increase from last year, and 23% less than the previous month.

All of these factors play into producing a Seller’s Market in the Fraser Valley. If you are interested in learning about the stats in your area please contact us and we will be happy to send you a report!